First day in Brazil..
December 14th, 2012The first day in Rio was already incredible!!
However, as expected, my luggage wasn’t as lucky.. It made it to Rio, but then it was lost inside (!!) the hotel. They took it to another room but didn’t remember where.. argh.. it took them several hours to find it again 🙁 And of course, I didn’t wear any business casual for the flight, so I was risking showing up in the wrong dress code to the first business meeting. Luckily, my room mate gave me a dress, so that I didn’t have to wear my comfortable, but ridiculous travel outfit. I was really glad, when they found my suitcase again!
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First meeting!
Who: a journalists from the TV news channel Globo (http://g1.globo.com/globo-news).
Key takeaways:
- No culture of saving: They had very high inflation during the 80ies (2000-3000%!!). So they are not used to save their money. In addition, one president apparently confiscated their savings, so people generally don’t trust the institutions.
- The current president: Dilma Rousseff is an economist by training. Therefore, she has a very clear opinion how the economy should work. However, they have the feeling that a lot of her new policies are just short-term gains without actually improving the long-term outlook (e.g. on education).
- Education: The government actually spends a lot on education, but somehow the money doesn’t flow to the right places. The public schools are really bad – or in PISA terms on the same level as Columbia and Jordan. In contrast, the public universities are really good. But in order to get accepted, you have to write a national test. And usually only children from private schools pass the limit. So Dilma’s short-term solution is to impose a quota for public school kids. Unfortunately, this means that people without sufficient academic knowledge are now allowed to study.
- Public opinion: At the moment, Dilma is very popular and has an acceptance rate of >70%! Merkel could only dream of such a number, but then again, she’s in a way more difficult situation.. Interesting fact is also that voting is mandatory in Brazil.
- Planning: The government isn’t good in planning. During the past, many of the government policies were about inflation and “trouble shooting”. It’s a fairly new situation that the government has all this money and stability.
- Corruption: Got better in the past couple of years. They even convicted a number of ministers of receiving/paying corruption payments.
- Stock market: Only very few people invest in stock. Most people don’t understand the concept.
- Installments: On the other hand, people love installments! It’s so common, that the interest rate is usually already priced in. And if they don’t get installments, the usually prefer to buy somewhere else.
- World cup & Olympics: When people in Rio or Sao Paolo make fun about the horrible traffic, they usually say “imagine during the world cup!!” 😉 If the traffic is already a nightmare now, imagine how horrible it will be when millions of soccer fans come to Brazil. But as usual, Dilma’s government has a short-term solution: Holidays! So all the people of the respective city will get holidays on the day of the match, so that the streets can be free for the tourists.
As a result, she doesn’t believe that the infrastructure will be ready for the world cup, or at least only with higher cost. If infrastructure projects are too late, they usually get “special treatment” which means for example that you can give it to your best friend instead of making a public bidding process.
Summary: In general, the journalist painted a rather neutral or negative picture of Brazil’s outlook. As we will see over the course of this week, only a few people shared her view (or were open enough to share it with foreigners). However, it can also be that it was just her journalist attitude that was speaking – bad news sell better 😉
Let’s see what the other business leaders think of Brazils outlook :)!